120 of 509 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 74 distributing, 315 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 9 market maker wallets, 3 exchange wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 50.5K PONS $20K | SWAP | 41992x | 0% | 4,199,209% | 11m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 21.7K PONS $9K | SWAP | 41992x | 0% | 4,199,209% | 12m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 17.7K PONS $7K | SWAP | 41992x | 0% | 4,199,209% | 16m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 17.7K PONS $7K | SWAP | 41992x | 0% | 4,199,209% | 17m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 14.9K PONS $6K | SWAP | 41992x | 0% | 4,199,209% | 24m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 14.9K PONS $6K | SWAP | 41992x | 0% | 4,199,209% | 26m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 50.3K PONS $20K | SWAP | 41992x | 0% | 4,199,209% | 26m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 27.3K PONS $11K | SWAP | 41992x | 0% | 4,199,209% | 26m ago | |
0x7308…a7f7Whale | Sell | 78.5K PONS $31K | SWAP | 1.9x | 0% | 185% | 27m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 21.7K PONS $9K | SWAP | 41992x | 0% | 4,199,209% | 29m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 48.3K PONS $19K | SWAP | 41992x | 0% | 4,199,209% | 29m ago | |
0x55ce…e604Whale | Sell | 46.6K PONS $18K | SWAP | 1.1x | 0% | 114% | 29m ago | |
0xf4cc…d0f4Whale | Sell | 5.0K PONS $2K | SWAP | 1475x | 91% | 16,884% | 29m ago | |
0xc4d5…4fa4Whale | Sell | 2.5K PONS $999 | SWAP | 1.3x | 0% | 129% | 29m ago | |
0xf4cc…d0f4Whale | Sell | 5.0K PONS $2K | SWAP | 1475x | 91% | 16,884% | 29m ago | |
0x7308…a7f7Whale | Sell | 25.1K PONS $10K | SWAP | 1.9x | 0% | 185% | 30m ago | |
0xf4cc…d0f4Whale | Sell | 3.0K PONS $1K | SWAP | 1475x | 91% | 16,884% | 30m ago | |
0xf4cc…d0f4Whale | Sell | 3.0K PONS $1K | SWAP | 1475x | 91% | 16,884% | 30m ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into PONS?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnedlocked / inactive | 320M | 32.0% | 85% | |
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 13.1M | 1.3% | 85% | |
| Exchanges | 59.1M | 5.9% | 85% | |
| Market makers | 21.1M | 2.1% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 235M | 23.5% | 80% | |
| Retail | 135M | 13.5% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 217M | 21.7% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
18.3% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?