72 of 317 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 45 distributing, 200 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 5 market maker wallets, 7 exchange wallets, 2 bot / mev wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xaa4d…38ddWhale | Sent | 128K CASHCAT $18K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 2% | 4m ago | |
0xaa4d…38ddWhale | Sent | 128K CASHCAT $18K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 2% | 7m ago | |
0xdd95…f698Whale | Received | 9.5K CASHCAT $1K | CEX WD | 0.5x | 63% | 0% | 11m ago | |
0xdd95…f698Whale | Received | 495K CASHCAT $68K | CEX WD | 0.5x | 63% | 0% | 11m ago | |
0x47f5…b942Whale | Sell | 1.1M CASHCAT $153K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 104% | 15m ago | |
0xacee…b330Whale | Sell | 77.7K CASHCAT $11K | SWAP | 0.6x | 63% | 23% | 30m ago | |
0xdd95…f698Whale | Received | 405K CASHCAT $56K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 63% | 0% | 34m ago | |
0x195f…42d8Whale | Received | 142K CASHCAT $20K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.9x | 73% | 26% | 55m ago | |
0xdd95…f698Whale | Sent | 35.8K CASHCAT $5K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 63% | 0% | 59m ago | |
0xdd95…f698Whale | Received | 208K CASHCAT $29K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 63% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0xdd95…f698Whale | Sent | 22.4K CASHCAT $3K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 63% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0xf4c3…aabcWhale | Added LP | 570K CASHCAT $79K | LP ADD | 1.0x | 0% | 100% | 1h ago | |
0xdd95…f698Whale | Sent | 13.0K CASHCAT $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 63% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0xdd95…f698Whale | Sent | 37.0K CASHCAT $5K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 63% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0xdd95…f698Whale | Received | 165K CASHCAT $23K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 63% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0xdd95…f698Whale | Sent | 65.2K CASHCAT $9K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 63% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0xdd95…f698Whale | Sent | 49.8K CASHCAT $7K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 63% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0xaa4d…38ddWhale | Sent | 114K CASHCAT $16K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 2% | 1h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into CASHCAT?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnedlocked / inactive | 12.1M | 1.2% | 85% | |
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 12.9M | 1.3% | 85% | |
| Staking / lockslocked / inactive | 2.8M | 0.3% | 85% | |
| Exchanges | 18.6M | 1.9% | 85% | |
| Market makers | 3.3M | 0.3% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 407M | 40.7% | 80% | |
| Retail | 264M | 26.4% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 280M | 28.0% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
15.6% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?