119 of 343 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 40 distributing, 184 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 4 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x50f2…0e17Whale | Sell | 100K AI $11K | SWAP | 2.5x | 51% | 130% | 18m ago | |
0xb774…938eWhale | Sell | 250K AI $27K | SWAP | 70x | 94% | 424% | 43m ago | |
0x6e66…9d98Whale | Sell | 7.4K AI $804 | SWAP | 1.1x | 39% | 66% | 48m ago | |
0x6e66…9d98Whale | Sell | 35.9K AI $4K | SWAP | 1.1x | 39% | 66% | 49m ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 67.7K AI $7K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.1x | 0% | 10% | 50m ago | |
0xc95a…a287Whale | Sell | 165K AI $18K | SWAP | 71x | 48% | 3,762% | 50m ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 49.3K AI $5K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.1x | 0% | 10% | 52m ago | |
0x1978…ef86Whale | Sent | 100.0K AI $11K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 56% | 2% | 55m ago | |
0x1978…ef86Whale | Sent | 100.0K AI $11K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 56% | 2% | 55m ago | |
0xd5cc…ec07Whale | Sell | 10.5K AI $1K | SWAP | 0.9x | 22% | 74% | 57m ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 22.4K AI $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0xd5cc…ec07Whale | Sell | 11.0K AI $1K | SWAP | 0.9x | 22% | 74% | 1h ago | |
0xc95a…a287Whale | Sell | 90.5K AI $10K | SWAP | 71x | 48% | 3,762% | 1h ago | |
0xd50a…b9abWhale | Sell | 45.0K AI $5K | SWAP | 70x | 94% | 393% | 1h ago | |
0xfb04…afe6Whale | Buy | 134K AI $15K | SWAP | 0.9x | 11% | 88% | 2h ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 51.1K AI $6K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 2h ago | |
0x3d38…9e69Whale | Buy | 6.0K AI $673 | SWAP | 0.8x | 100% | 0% | 2h ago | |
0x8800…17edWhale | Sell | 185K AI $20K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 100% | 2h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into AI?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnedlocked / inactive | 2.1M | 0.2% | 85% | |
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 45.0M | 4.5% | 85% | |
| Exchanges | 1.9M | 0.2% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 607M | 61.3% | 80% | |
| Retail | 6.2M | 0.6% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 329M | 33.2% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
30.9% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?