1 of 43 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 0 distributing, 42 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x17e9…731bWhale | Sell | 5.0M VRAX $2K | SWAP | 0.9x | 50% | 81% | 7h ago | |
0x17e9…731bWhale | Buy | 2.3M VRAX $1K | SWAP | 0.9x | 50% | 81% | 1d ago | |
0x17e9…731bWhale | Buy | 2.6M VRAX $1K | SWAP | 0.9x | 50% | 81% | 1d ago | |
0xc0fd…3698Whale | Sell | 9.2M VRAX $4K | SWAP | 0.2x | 0% | 24% | 2d ago | |
0xb9f5…68f9Whale | Buy | 6.3M VRAX $4K | SWAP | 0.4x | 63% | 25% | 2d ago | |
0x0390…aae0Whale | Sent | 6.1M VRAX $3K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 2d ago | |
0x5eda…0542Whale | Received | 1.8M VRAX $1K | Rotation | 0.7x | 100% | 0% | 2d ago | |
0x4a5e…0db6Whale | Sell | 817K VRAX $705 | SWAP | 0.6x | 0% | 56% | 3d ago | |
0x0390…aae0Whale | Received | 977K VRAX $1K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 3d ago | |
0x6149…a87cWhale | Buy | 2.3M VRAX $3K | SWAP | 0.2x | 79% | 11% | 3d ago | |
0x6ad5…dfafWhale | Sell | 2.2M VRAX $2K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 102% | 3d ago | |
0x0390…aae0Whale | Received | 2.2M VRAX $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 4d ago | |
0x0390…aae0Whale | Received | 2.3M VRAX $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 4d ago | |
0x6ad5…dfafWhale | Buy | 2.2M VRAX $2K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 102% | 4d ago | |
0x681e…64e4Whale | Sell | 781K VRAX $816 | SWAP | 0.8x | 0% | 78% | 4d ago | |
0xc0fd…3698Whale | Buy | 2.7M VRAX $3K | SWAP | 0.2x | 0% | 24% | 4d ago | |
0x17e9…731bWhale | Buy | 3.3M VRAX $3K | SWAP | 0.9x | 50% | 81% | 4d ago | |
0xb9f5…68f9Whale | Sell | 3.0M VRAX $2K | SWAP | 0.4x | 63% | 25% | 4d ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into VRAX?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 103M | 10.3% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 97.7M | 9.8% | 80% | |
| Retail | 507M | 50.7% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 292M | 29.2% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
0.0% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?