46 of 119 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 42 distributing, 31 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 4 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xb87f…091bWhale | Sell | 1.0M PRIORS $8K | SWAP | — | — | — | 39m ago | |
0xb87f…091bWhale | Sell | 1.0M PRIORS $8K | SWAP | — | — | — | 40m ago | |
0xb87f…091bWhale | Sell | 690K PRIORS $5K | SWAP | — | — | — | 40m ago | |
0xb87f…091bWhale | Sell | 920K PRIORS $7K | SWAP | — | — | — | 40m ago | |
0xff33…321dWhale | Moved | 1.3M PRIORS $10K | LP REMOVE | 0.2x | 4% | 11% | 44m ago | |
0xb87f…091bWhale | Sell | 410K PRIORS $3K | SWAP | — | — | — | 50m ago | |
0xacf0…d4ecWhale | Sell | 287K PRIORS $2K | SWAP | 2.3x | 0% | 225% | 1h ago | |
0xacf0…d4ecWhale | Sell | 287K PRIORS $2K | SWAP | 2.3x | 0% | 225% | 1h ago | |
0xacf0…d4ecWhale | Sell | 575K PRIORS $4K | SWAP | 2.3x | 0% | 225% | 1h ago | |
0xacf0…d4ecWhale | Sell | 383K PRIORS $3K | SWAP | 2.3x | 0% | 225% | 1h ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 374K PRIORS $3K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 206K PRIORS $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 2h ago | |
0x3d9d…e7e1Whale | Sell | 648K PRIORS $5K | SWAP | 2.9x | 0% | 292% | 3h ago | |
0xe033…17b5Whale | Sell | 301K PRIORS $2K | SWAP | 0.7x | 30% | 50% | 3h ago | |
0x927f…3e4cWhale | Sell | 228K PRIORS $2K | SWAP | 2.2x | 21% | 155% | 3h ago | |
0xf7a4…27ecWhale | Sell | 1.4M PRIORS $10K | SWAP | 2.6x | 0% | 262% | 4h ago | |
0xcc70…36dcWhale | Sell | 250K PRIORS $2K | SWAP | 1.0x | 82% | 16% | 5h ago | |
0x2071…a60eWhale | Sell | 241K PRIORS $2K | SWAP | 0.7x | 0% | 73% | 5h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into PRIORS?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 112M | 11.2% | 85% | |
| Market makers | 7.9M | 0.8% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 518M | 51.8% | 80% | |
| Retail | 131M | 13.1% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 230M | 23.0% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
15.5% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?