61 of 162 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 22 distributing, 79 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 2 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xc540…3681Whale | Sell | 496K UBIK $4K | SWAP | 0.8x | 53% | 45% | 5m ago | |
0x4dd3…fa69Whale | Sell | 191K UBIK $2K | SWAP | 1.1x | 0% | 115% | 36m ago | |
0xf65e…a079Whale | Sell | 150K UBIK $1K | SWAP | 0.8x | 40% | 63% | 38m ago | |
0x6ad5…dfafWhale | Sell | 749K UBIK $6K | SWAP | — | — | — | 1h ago | |
0x6ad5…dfafWhale | Sell | 749K UBIK $6K | SWAP | — | — | — | 1h ago | |
0x0e67…2b5fWhale | Buy | 639K UBIK $5K | SWAP | 1.7x | 26% | 147% | 1h ago | |
0xb345…2a4eWhale | Sent | 800K UBIK $7K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.3x | 60% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0x0e67…2b5fWhale | Buy | 632K UBIK $5K | SWAP | 1.7x | 26% | 147% | 2h ago | |
0x0e67…2b5fWhale | Buy | 639K UBIK $5K | SWAP | 1.7x | 26% | 147% | 2h ago | |
0x0e67…2b5fWhale | Buy | 644K UBIK $5K | SWAP | 1.7x | 26% | 147% | 2h ago | |
0xac9a…636bWhale | Sell | 2.8M UBIK $23K | SWAP | 0.8x | 0% | 84% | 2h ago | |
0x8233…35ddWhale | Sent | 2.0M UBIK $17K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 1.0x | 2% | 98% | 2h ago | |
0x8233…35ddWhale | Sent | 1.9M UBIK $15K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 1.0x | 2% | 98% | 2h ago | |
0x4e88…3ec1Whale | Sell | 198K UBIK $2K | SWAP | 1.5x | 0% | 151% | 2h ago | |
0xf07c…2399Whale | Sent | 2.0M UBIK $16K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.1x | 0% | 8% | 2h ago | |
0x7e96…780cWhale | Sent | 2.0M UBIK $17K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.4x | 0% | 37% | 2h ago | |
0x2d1a…f33dWhale | Sent | 4.3M UBIK $36K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.2x | 0% | 23% | 2h ago | |
0x14e0…21f7Whale | Sell | 99.7K UBIK $917 | SWAP | 1.0x | 35% | 75% | 3h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into UBIK?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 80.1M | 8.0% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 691M | 69.1% | 80% | |
| Retail | 36.0M | 3.6% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 303M | 30.3% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
17.3% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?