46 of 116 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 33 distributing, 37 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 2 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x560a…3d3aWhale | Sell | 275K PRISM $1K | SWAP | 0.8x | 77% | 22% | 1h ago | |
0xd754…bf14Whale | Sell | 213K PRISM $874 | SWAP | 16x | 54% | 1,089% | 1h ago | |
0x4ac5…e7d1Whale | Sell | 120K PRISM $511 | SWAP | 0.9x | 96% | 3% | 3h ago | |
0x560a…3d3aWhale | Sell | 265K PRISM $1K | SWAP | 0.8x | 77% | 22% | 4h ago | |
0xd01f…4f54Whale | Sell | 331K PRISM $1K | SWAP | 0.4x | 0% | 37% | 6h ago | |
0x0e37…0bb6Whale | Sent | 507K PRISM $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.1x | 15% | 0% | 7h ago | |
0x55f4…89eaWhale | Sell | 177K PRISM $730 | SWAP | 1.2x | 45% | 91% | 7h ago | |
0xf46c…86bdWhale | Sell | 119K PRISM $504 | SWAP | 0.9x | 36% | 70% | 10h ago | |
0x4f61…8213Whale | Sent | 16.6M PRISM $81K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 2.1x | 14% | 28% | 15h ago | |
0x1afc…257dWhale | Sell | 264K PRISM $1K | SWAP | 1.1x | 49% | 62% | 15h ago | |
0x4ac5…e7d1Whale | Buy | 183K PRISM $850 | SWAP | 0.9x | 96% | 3% | 18h ago | |
0x4ac5…e7d1Whale | Buy | 185K PRISM $857 | SWAP | 0.9x | 96% | 3% | 18h ago | |
0x4ac5…e7d1Whale | Buy | 187K PRISM $866 | SWAP | 0.9x | 96% | 3% | 18h ago | |
0x23ad…7bd8Whale | Buy | 405K PRISM $2K | SWAP | 11x | 98% | 9% | 21h ago | |
0x528b…99afWhale | Buy | 201K PRISM $939 | SWAP | 3.3x | 35% | 220% | 21h ago | |
0x528b…99afWhale | Sell | 118K PRISM $550 | SWAP | 3.3x | 35% | 220% | 22h ago | |
0xa2b1…ee4dWhale | Buy | 1.1M PRISM $5K | SWAP | 0.7x | 41% | 31% | 22h ago | |
0x4bec…146aWhale | Sent | 1.0M PRISM $5K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 2.0x | 66% | 89% | 22h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into PRISM?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 16.8M | 1.7% | 85% | |
| Market makers | 15.6M | 1.6% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 524M | 52.4% | 80% | |
| Retail | 35.1M | 3.5% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 408M | 40.8% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
11.3% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?