115 of 274 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 50 distributing, 109 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 4 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xdb5c…1942Whale | Sent | 500K BONER $26K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 2.1x | 0% | 212% | 57m ago | |
0xdb5c…1942Whale | Sent | 500K BONER $27K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 2.1x | 0% | 212% | 1h ago | |
0x8f5d…4db0Whale | Buy | 90.2K BONER $5K | SWAP | 1.2x | 61% | 51% | 2h ago | |
0x7c4b…8ec3Whale | Sell | 97.6K BONER $5K | SWAP | 465x | 99% | 324% | 2h ago | |
0x7740…812eWhale | Sell | 56.3K BONER $3K | SWAP | — | — | — | 4h ago | |
0x7740…812eWhale | Sell | 56.3K BONER $3K | SWAP | — | — | — | 4h ago | |
0x7740…812eWhale | Sell | 113K BONER $6K | SWAP | — | — | — | 4h ago | |
0x7740…812eWhale | Sell | 75.0K BONER $4K | SWAP | — | — | — | 4h ago | |
0x7740…812eWhale | Sell | 100.0K BONER $5K | SWAP | — | — | — | 4h ago | |
0x7740…812eWhale | Sell | 100.0K BONER $5K | SWAP | — | — | — | 4h ago | |
0x6614…b6d3Whale | Received | 68.2K BONER $4K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.9x | 100% | 0% | 4h ago | |
0x2713…835cWhale | Sent | 100K BONER $5K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 1.1x | 0% | 112% | 5h ago | |
0x7740…812eWhale | Sell | 100.0K BONER $5K | SWAP | — | — | — | 5h ago | |
0x7740…812eWhale | Sell | 100.0K BONER $5K | SWAP | — | — | — | 5h ago | |
0x7740…812eWhale | Sell | 100.0K BONER $5K | SWAP | — | — | — | 5h ago | |
0x7740…812eWhale | Sell | 100.0K BONER $5K | SWAP | — | — | — | 5h ago | |
0x7740…812eWhale | Sell | 100.0K BONER $5K | SWAP | — | — | — | 5h ago | |
0xddf0…2eb1Whale | Buy | 30.0K BONER $2K | SWAP | 0.8x | 100% | 0% | 6h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into BONER?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 42.9M | 4.3% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 719M | 71.9% | 80% | |
| Retail | 17.1M | 1.7% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 221M | 22.1% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
35.7% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?