71 of 159 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 43 distributing, 45 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 2 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xdab1…cb32Whale | Sent | 10.3K BUN $665 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 7.9x | 41% | 0% | 4m ago | |
0xdab1…cb32Whale | Sent | 10.3K BUN $665 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 7.9x | 41% | 0% | 14m ago | |
0xdab1…cb32Whale | Sent | 10.3K BUN $665 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 7.9x | 41% | 0% | 24m ago | |
0xdab1…cb32Whale | Sent | 10.3K BUN $665 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 7.9x | 41% | 0% | 34m ago | |
0xdab1…cb32Whale | Sent | 10.3K BUN $665 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 7.9x | 41% | 0% | 44m ago | |
0x6b5c…66a0Whale | Sell | 8.0K BUN $517 | SWAP | 1.9x | 57% | 47% | 45m ago | |
0x06de…f2d1Whale | Sell | 79.6K BUN $5K | SWAP | 19x | 98% | 39% | 47m ago | |
0xdab1…cb32Whale | Sent | 10.3K BUN $665 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 7.9x | 41% | 0% | 55m ago | |
0x39ca…be61Whale | Sent | 186K BUN $12K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0x40b1…d2c0Whale | Buy | 62.8K BUN $4K | SWAP | 1.4x | 100% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0x40b1…d2c0Whale | Buy | 124K BUN $8K | SWAP | 1.4x | 100% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0xdab1…cb32Whale | Sent | 10.3K BUN $651 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 7.9x | 41% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0xdab1…cb32Whale | Sent | 10.3K BUN $651 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 7.9x | 41% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0x40b1…d2c0Whale | Buy | 81.9K BUN $5K | SWAP | 1.4x | 100% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0xdab1…cb32Whale | Sent | 10.3K BUN $651 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 7.9x | 41% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0x40b1…d2c0Whale | Buy | 30.9K BUN $2K | SWAP | 1.4x | 100% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0xdab1…cb32Whale | Sent | 10.3K BUN $651 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 7.9x | 41% | 0% | 2h ago | |
0x40b1…d2c0Whale | Buy | 77.6K BUN $5K | SWAP | 1.4x | 100% | 0% | 2h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into BUN?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 10.7M | 1.1% | 85% | |
| Market makers | 2.8M | 0.3% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 136M | 13.6% | 80% | |
| Retail | 15.3M | 1.5% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 835M | 83.5% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
4.4% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?