33 of 55 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 10 distributing, 12 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 1 market maker wallet. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x61bb…836dWhale | Sent | 384 WTH $10K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 1.8x | 31% | 76% | 4h ago | |
0xe42a…98cfWhale | Sent | 250 WTH $6K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.6x | 0% | 58% | 8h ago | |
0x0411…c4ceWhale | Received | 45 WTH $1K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.7x | 30% | 13% | 15h ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 24 WTH $586 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 23h ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 84 WTH $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 24h ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 25 WTH $638 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 31 WTH $789 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 26 WTH $654 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 36 WTH $933 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0x1a2a…a8e8Whale | Sell | 194 WTH $5K | SWAP | — | — | — | 1d ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 63 WTH $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0x5cd1…c37eWhale | Sent | 34 WTH $896 | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 96% | 1d ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 33 WTH $879 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 31 WTH $810 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0x9736…4a1bWhale | Sent | 250 WTH $7K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.4x | 24% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0xc5c2…bc77Whale | Sell | 74 WTH $2K | Rotation | 1.0x | 0% | 95% | 1d ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 30 WTH $794 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 23 WTH $643 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1d ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into WTH?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnedlocked / inactive | 2.3K | 1.1% | 85% | |
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 61.3K | 29.2% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 74.3K | 35.4% | 80% | |
| Retail | 22.9K | 10.9% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 49.2K | 23.4% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
6.3% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?