0 of 60 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 2 distributing, 58 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 2 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xce29…13a8Whale | Sent | 23.8K RAM $805 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 11m ago | |
0x8853…f987Whale | Sent | 20.0K RAM $678 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.8x | 0% | 83% | 2h ago | |
0x3098…1ae3Whale | Sell | 519K RAM $19K | SWAP | — | — | — | 3h ago | |
0x0245…144bWhale | Sent | 62.4K RAM $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.9x | 0% | 90% | 6h ago | |
0x0245…144bWhale | Sent | 62.4K RAM $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.9x | 0% | 90% | 6h ago | |
0x0245…144bWhale | Sent | 125K RAM $5K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.9x | 0% | 90% | 6h ago | |
0x0245…144bWhale | Sell | 250K RAM $9K | SWAP | 0.9x | 0% | 90% | 6h ago | |
0xc6ad…cd1aWhale | Buy | 32.1K RAM $1K | Rotation | 0.5x | 85% | 15% | 8h ago | |
0x34c9…7a66Whale | Sent | 278K RAM $10K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.4x | 0% | 40% | 11h ago | |
0x2331…41fcWhale | Buy | 21.0K RAM $777 | SWAP | 0.5x | 87% | 27% | 1d ago | |
0x2331…41fcWhale | Buy | 47.4K RAM $2K | SWAP | 0.5x | 87% | 27% | 1d ago | |
0xce29…13a8Whale | Received | 6.42 RAM $5K | Rotation | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0xce29…13a8Whale | Received | 5.00 RAM $7K | Rotation | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0x35be…f8cbWhale | Sell | 124K RAM $5K | SWAP | 0.8x | 0% | 79% | 2d ago | |
0xce29…13a8Whale | Received | 3.16 RAM $6K | Rotation | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 2d ago | |
0x1b63…4026Whale | Received | 6.46 RAM $10K | Rotation | 1.3x | 1% | 125% | 2d ago | |
0xce29…13a8Whale | Received | 80 RAM $3K | Rotation | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 2d ago | |
0xacb1…61ddWhale | Received | 140 RAM $1K | Rotation | 0.1x | 0% | 9% | 2d ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into RAM?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 1.1M | 2.2% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 13.2M | 25.8% | 80% | |
| Retail | 9.9M | 19.5% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 26.8M | 52.5% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
0.0% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?