11 of 68 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 7 distributing, 50 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 1 market maker wallet. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 2.3K UP $555 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 1% | 48m ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 8.2K UP $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 1% | 50m ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 3.6K UP $868 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 1% | 50m ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 3.9K UP $955 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 1% | 51m ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 3.9K UP $955 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 1% | 52m ago | |
0x0ebc…66a3Whale | Sent | 24.0K UP $6K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.2x | 35% | 0% | 2h ago | |
0xe226…3a5dWhale | Sent | 41.1K UP $10K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 0% | 50% | 3h ago | |
0xe226…3a5dWhale | Sent | 41.1K UP $10K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 0% | 50% | 3h ago | |
0xe226…3a5dWhale | Sent | 20.1K UP $5K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 0% | 50% | 3h ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 22.2K UP $6K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 1% | 5h ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 11.5K UP $3K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 1% | 7h ago | |
0xe854…09c5Whale | Sell | 112K UP $29K | SWAP | 1.9x | 0% | 187% | 7h ago | |
0xe854…09c5Whale | Sell | 112K UP $29K | SWAP | 1.9x | 0% | 187% | 7h ago | |
0x0e66…abfdWhale | Received | 38.9K UP $10K | Rotation | 0.6x | 89% | 3% | 10h ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 19.0K UP $5K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 1% | 11h ago | |
0x76c1…61b0Whale | Sell | 3.8K UP $996 | SWAP | 1.0x | 97% | 3% | 14h ago | |
0x8bf7…6722Whale | Sent | 13.0K UP $3K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.4x | 0% | 39% | 15h ago | |
0x8bf7…6722Whale | Sent | 23.7K UP $6K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.4x | 0% | 39% | 15h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into UP?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 1.4M | 0.3% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 8.7M | 1.7% | 80% | |
| Retail | 1.9M | 0.4% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 501M | 97.7% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
0.1% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?