47 of 193 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 36 distributing, 110 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 3 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xff89…95bcWhale | Sell | 320K DELTA $4K | SWAP | 3.5x | 8% | 325% | 41m ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 77.5K DELTA $1K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 1h ago | |
0x1ff8…e6b3Whale | Sent | 40.0K DELTA $546 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 1.0x | 79% | 11% | 1h ago | |
0xd763…d19eWhale | Sell | 163K DELTA $2K | SWAP | 1.7x | 0% | 170% | 2h ago | |
0x73a8…1745Whale | Sell | 179K DELTA $2K | SWAP | 1.1x | 0% | 113% | 2h ago | |
0xd50e…a363Whale | Sell | 532K DELTA $7K | SWAP | 1.4x | 0% | 137% | 3h ago | |
0xd50e…a363Whale | Sell | 453K DELTA $6K | SWAP | 1.4x | 0% | 137% | 3h ago | |
0xd50e…a363Whale | Sell | 534K DELTA $7K | SWAP | 1.4x | 0% | 137% | 3h ago | |
0xd50e…a363Whale | Sell | 534K DELTA $6K | SWAP | 1.4x | 0% | 137% | 4h ago | |
0x3e2e…90ecWhale | Buy | 329K DELTA $4K | SWAP | 0.7x | 82% | 0% | 4h ago | |
0x194e…afe5Whale | Buy | 253K DELTA $3K | Rotation | 0.7x | 100% | 0% | 4h ago | |
0xd50e…a363Whale | Buy | 121K DELTA $2K | SWAP | 1.4x | 0% | 137% | 4h ago | |
0xd50e…a363Whale | Buy | 121K DELTA $2K | SWAP | 1.4x | 0% | 137% | 4h ago | |
0xd50e…a363Whale | Buy | 122K DELTA $2K | SWAP | 1.4x | 0% | 137% | 4h ago | |
0xd50e…a363Whale | Buy | 122K DELTA $2K | SWAP | 1.4x | 0% | 137% | 4h ago | |
0xd50e…a363Whale | Buy | 123K DELTA $2K | SWAP | 1.4x | 0% | 137% | 4h ago | |
0xd50e…a363Whale | Buy | 123K DELTA $2K | SWAP | 1.4x | 0% | 137% | 4h ago | |
0xd50e…a363Whale | Buy | 124K DELTA $2K | SWAP | 1.4x | 0% | 137% | 4h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into DELTA?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnedlocked / inactive | 5.4M | 0.5% | 85% | |
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 9.7M | 1.0% | 85% | |
| Market makers | 5.9M | 0.6% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 404M | 40.4% | 80% | |
| Retail | 76.6M | 7.7% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 498M | 49.8% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
13.2% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?