28 of 119 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 14 distributing, 77 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 2 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x74a5…617fWhale | Sell | 707K TENDIES $5K | SWAP | 0.9x | 0% | 86% | 55m ago | |
0x8529…8fbcWhale | Sell | 1.4M TENDIES $10K | Rotation | 0.6x | 0% | 58% | 5h ago | |
0x8529…8fbcWhale | Sell | 1.4M TENDIES $10K | Rotation | 0.6x | 0% | 58% | 5h ago | |
0x514c…caa3Whale | Sell | 304K TENDIES $2K | SWAP | 0.4x | 93% | 3% | 6h ago | |
0xd125…d22fWhale | Added LP | 5.5M TENDIES $40K | LP ADD | n/a | 100% | n/a | 9h ago | |
0xd125…d22fWhale | Moved | 5.5M TENDIES $40K | LP REMOVE | n/a | 100% | n/a | 9h ago | |
0xd369…7c65Whale | Sell | 271K TENDIES $2K | SWAP | 0.9x | 32% | 74% | 17h ago | |
0x34c4…4bddWhale | Sell | 585K TENDIES $4K | SWAP | — | — | — | 20h ago | |
0x0390…aae0Whale | Received | 154K TENDIES $1K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.8x | 100% | 0% | 21h ago | |
0x0390…aae0Whale | Received | 106K TENDIES $763 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.8x | 100% | 0% | 21h ago | |
0x0390…aae0Whale | Received | 1.7M TENDIES $13K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.8x | 100% | 0% | 21h ago | |
0xd93e…624fWhale | Sell | 103K TENDIES $742 | SWAP | 0.7x | 45% | 51% | 21h ago | |
0x7f8d…c759Whale | Sell | 588K TENDIES $4K | SWAP | 0.9x | 0% | 93% | 22h ago | |
0x7f8d…c759Whale | Sell | 3.3M TENDIES $25K | SWAP | 0.9x | 0% | 93% | 22h ago | |
0x7f8d…c759Whale | Sell | 1.9M TENDIES $14K | SWAP | 0.9x | 0% | 93% | 22h ago | |
0xed3a…d027Whale | Buy | 100K TENDIES $759 | SWAP | 0.8x | 62% | 46% | 22h ago | |
0xdc5e…9ba9Whale | Buy | 324K TENDIES $2K | SWAP | 1.2x | 86% | 30% | 22h ago | |
0xd93e…624fWhale | Buy | 170K TENDIES $1K | SWAP | 0.7x | 45% | 51% | 22h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into TENDIES?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnedlocked / inactive | 44.9M | 4.5% | 85% | |
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 4.6M | 0.5% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 582M | 58.2% | 80% | |
| Retail | 58.4M | 5.8% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 310M | 31.0% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
6.6% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?