21 of 88 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 23 distributing, 44 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 2 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x0ad1…d9dfWhale | Sell | 1.0M MONITOR $2K | SWAP | 1.7x | 13% | 139% | 9m ago | |
0x62e1…1479Whale | Sent | 3.5M MONITOR $9K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 4h ago | |
0x62e1…1479Whale | Sent | 1.5M MONITOR $4K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 4h ago | |
0x8dec…59dfWhale | Sell | 504K MONITOR $1K | SWAP | 0.8x | 27% | 67% | 7h ago | |
0x3d24…c013Whale | Buy | 1.5M MONITOR $4K | SWAP | 1.2x | 13% | 111% | 8h ago | |
0x3d24…c013Whale | Buy | 1.6M MONITOR $4K | SWAP | 1.2x | 13% | 111% | 8h ago | |
0x3d24…c013Whale | Buy | 1.1M MONITOR $3K | SWAP | 1.2x | 13% | 111% | 8h ago | |
0x59a7…b9dcWhale | Sell | 2.2M MONITOR $5K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 101% | 9h ago | |
0x59a7…b9dcWhale | Sell | 249K MONITOR $599 | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 101% | 9h ago | |
0x59a7…b9dcWhale | Sell | 277K MONITOR $666 | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 101% | 9h ago | |
0x59a7…b9dcWhale | Sell | 308K MONITOR $740 | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 101% | 9h ago | |
0x59a7…b9dcWhale | Sell | 342K MONITOR $822 | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 101% | 9h ago | |
0x59a7…b9dcWhale | Sell | 380K MONITOR $914 | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 101% | 9h ago | |
0x59a7…b9dcWhale | Sell | 422K MONITOR $1K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 101% | 9h ago | |
0x39b3…5b08Whale | Sell | 214K MONITOR $504 | SWAP | 26x | 92% | 219% | 11h ago | |
0x5e93…6c09Whale | Sell | 217K MONITOR $510 | SWAP | 2.5x | 90% | 26% | 14h ago | |
0x39b3…5b08Whale | Sell | 409K MONITOR $1K | SWAP | 26x | 92% | 219% | 20h ago | |
0x40bb…0f22Whale | Buy | 2.1M MONITOR $5K | SWAP | 0.9x | 100% | 0% | 20h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into MONITOR?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 123M | 12.3% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 601M | 60.1% | 80% | |
| Retail | 144M | 14.4% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 132M | 13.2% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
14.6% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?